CHA 117-116 SAS, February 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat SAS 117-116, but SAS's shots were worth 119.4 points to CHA's 110.9.

CHA 117-116 SAS, February 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHA101111106.06/64.9117110.9
SAS9296101.220/2418.3116119.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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