POR 108-102 SAC, February 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. POR beat SAC 108-102, but SAC's shots were worth 110.5 points to POR's 110.2.

POR 108-102 SAC, February 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	90	94	96.2	14/18	14.1	108	110.2
SAC	88	84	92.6	18/22	18.0	102	110.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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