LAL 120-112 GSW, February 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat GSW 120-112, but GSW's shots were worth 122.1 points to LAL's 119.8.

LAL 120-112 GSW, February 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	78	91	90.9	29/36	28.8	120	119.8
GSW	101	98	106.2	14/20	16.0	112	122.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.