DEN 112-90 ORL, February 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat ORL 112-90, but ORL's shots were worth 108.4 points to DEN's 107.5.

DEN 112-90 ORL, February 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	83	100	90.9	12/21	16.6	112	107.5
ORL	84	67	85.1	23/30	23.3	90	108.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.