BOS 120-127 DAL, February 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat BOS 127-120, but BOS's shots were worth 111.4 points to DAL's 103.6.

BOS 120-127 DAL, February 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	89	108	99.6	12/15	11.8	120	111.4
DAL	88	113	89.2	14/18	14.4	127	103.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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