SAC 111-130 ORL, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ORL beat SAC 130-111, but SAC's shots were worth 101.6 points to ORL's 100.0.

SAC 111-130 ORL, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	80	90	79.6	21/28	22.0	111	101.6
ORL	88	116	88.4	14/15	11.6	130	100.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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