DEN 144-119 NOP, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat NOP 144-119, and DEN's shots were worth 115.5 points to NOP's 107.0.

DEN 144-119 NOP, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	100	130	103.5	14/15	12.0	144	115.5
NOP	93	96	87.4	23/26	19.6	119	107.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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