UTA 131-128 GSW, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. UTA beat GSW 131-128, but GSW's shots were worth 122.9 points to UTA's 117.8.

UTA 131-128 GSW, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	92	109	96.6	22/27	21.2	131	117.8
GSW	100	109	102.5	19/27	20.4	128	122.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.