TOR 107-138 MEM, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat TOR 138-107, and MEM's shots were worth 129.3 points to TOR's 122.7.

TOR 107-138 MEM, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	98	90	107.9	17/19	14.8	107	122.7
MEM	89	110	100.2	28/38	29.1	138	129.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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