PHI 101-108 MIA, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat PHI 108-101, but PHI's shots were worth 118.4 points to MIA's 106.7.

PHI 101-108 MIA, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	96	86	102.8	15/20	15.6	101	118.4
MIA	83	92	90.8	16/20	15.9	108	106.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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