BKN 102-119 WAS, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat BKN 119-102, but BKN's shots were worth 103.6 points to WAS's 97.7.

BKN 102-119 WAS, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BKN838585.617/2318.0102103.6
WAS8110886.611/1411.211997.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.