DET 115-118 CLE, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat DET 118-115, but DET's shots were worth 125.9 points to CLE's 107.8.

DET 115-118 CLE, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	98	90	103.9	25/28	22.0	115	125.9
CLE	85	98	89.0	20/24	18.9	118	107.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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