CHA 102-112 MIL, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat CHA 112-102, but CHA's shots were worth 103.0 points to MIL's 99.2.

CHA 102-112 MIL, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	88	87	88.5	15/20	14.5	102	103.0
MIL	81	100	87.8	12/13	11.4	112	99.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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