POR 112-89 IND, February 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat IND 112-89, and POR's shots were worth 118.5 points to IND's 104.2.

POR 112-89 IND, February 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	92	96	104.8	16/17	13.7	112	118.5
IND	81	73	87.5	16/21	16.7	89	104.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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