TOR 115-121 NYK, February 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NYK beat TOR 121-115, and NYK's shots were worth 125.1 points to TOR's 110.2.

TOR 115-121 NYK, February 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	82	97	95.3	18/19	15.0	115	110.2
NYK	94	102	106.6	19/23	18.6	121	125.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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