PHI 118-116 DAL, February 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat DAL 118-116, but DAL's shots were worth 119.2 points to PHI's 112.2.

PHI 118-116 DAL, February 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	86	105	96.5	13/19	15.7	118	112.2
DAL	85	91	93.5	25/31	25.6	116	119.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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