BKN 99-97 HOU, February 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BKN beat HOU 99-97, but HOU's shots were worth 105.1 points to BKN's 98.7.

BKN 99-97 HOU, February 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BKN	82	86	85.5	13/17	13.2	99	98.7
HOU	83	79	85.2	18/27	20.0	97	105.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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