CLE 105-112 BOS, February 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat CLE 112-105, but CLE's shots were worth 124.6 points to BOS's 120.3.

CLE 105-112 BOS, February 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	91	83	103.6	22/26	21.0	105	124.6
BOS	98	97	105.6	15/18	14.7	112	120.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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