POR 121-119 PHX, February 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat PHX 121-119, and POR's shots were worth 119.4 points to PHX's 115.4.

POR 121-119 PHX, February 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	89	96	96.3	25/30	23.1	121	119.4
PHX	85	95	91.9	24/28	23.5	119	115.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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