UTA 111-112 IND, February 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat UTA 112-111, but UTA's shots were worth 120.5 points to IND's 113.6.

UTA 111-112 IND, February 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	91	91	98.3	20/30	22.2	111	120.5
IND	91	96	97.7	16/20	15.9	112	113.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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