OKC 125-96 MIL, February 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat MIL 125-96, and OKC's shots were worth 122.1 points to MIL's 116.6.

OKC 125-96 MIL, February 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	99	118	115.5	7/8	6.6	125	122.1
MIL	93	83	100.3	13/21	16.2	96	116.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.