MIN 114-116 SAC, February 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat MIN 116-114, but MIN's shots were worth 124.4 points to SAC's 113.7.

MIN 114-116 SAC, February 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	94	98	111.9	16/16	12.4	114	124.4
SAC	92	100	97.7	16/20	16.0	116	113.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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