MEM 128-109 SAS, February 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat SAS 128-109, and MEM's shots were worth 130.0 points to SAS's 122.6.

MEM 128-109 SAS, February 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	99	110	114.7	18/20	15.3	128	130.0
SAS	91	94	107.1	15/20	15.4	109	122.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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