DET 130-132 ATL, February 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat DET 132-130, but DET's shots were worth 119.8 points to ATL's 118.9.

DET 130-132 ATL, February 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	83	95	89.6	35/38	30.2	130	119.8
ATL	81	100	88.7	32/39	30.2	132	118.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.