MIL 119-132 MEM, February 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat MIL 132-119, and MEM's shots were worth 131.6 points to MIL's 113.5.

MIL 119-132 MEM, February 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	91	108	98.7	11/19	14.8	119	113.5
MEM	107	118	114.7	14/22	17.0	132	131.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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