PHI 110-118 BOS, February 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat PHI 118-110, but PHI's shots were worth 112.5 points to BOS's 108.5.

PHI 110-118 BOS, February 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI828990.121/2822.4110112.5
BOS8410595.513/1612.9118108.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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