CLE 144-101 DAL, February 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat DAL 144-101, but DAL's shots were worth 124.4 points to CLE's 124.3.

CLE 144-101 DAL, February 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	93	132	112.3	12/16	12.0	144	124.3
DAL	103	89	113.0	12/15	11.4	101	124.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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