SAS 103-105 MIA, February 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat SAS 105-103, but SAS's shots were worth 116.0 points to MIA's 114.0.

SAS 103-105 MIA, February 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	91	88	99.5	15/21	16.5	103	116.0
MIA	89	95	100.2	10/17	13.8	105	114.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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