CHA 104-107 DEN, February 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat CHA 107-104, and DEN's shots were worth 105.5 points to CHA's 99.1.

CHA 104-107 DEN, February 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	95	91	85.7	13/17	13.3	104	99.1
DEN	88	89	89.4	18/20	16.1	107	105.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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