GSW 105-130 PHX, January 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat GSW 130-105, but GSW's shots were worth 119.0 points to PHX's 107.0.

GSW 105-130 PHX, January 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	96	88	99.7	17/25	19.3	105	119.0
PHX	89	119	94.3	11/16	12.7	130	107.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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