SAS 144-118 MIL, January 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat MIL 144-118, and SAS's shots were worth 141.8 points to MIL's 132.2.

SAS 144-118 MIL, January 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	102	124	122.1	20/25	19.7	144	141.8
MIL	100	98	113.2	20/26	19.0	118	132.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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