NOP 116-118 BOS, January 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat NOP 118-116, but NOP's shots were worth 111.6 points to BOS's 110.1.

NOP 116-118 BOS, January 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	90	103	96.9	13/19	14.7	116	111.6
BOS	84	100	89.4	18/26	20.7	118	110.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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