UTA 113-138 MIN, January 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat UTA 138-113, and MIN's shots were worth 104.8 points to UTA's 100.1.

UTA 113-138 MIN, January 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	77	92	79.3	21/25	20.8	113	100.1
MIN	82	119	86.2	19/24	18.6	138	104.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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