WAS 96-134 LAL, January 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat WAS 134-96, but WAS's shots were worth 120.6 points to LAL's 117.7.

WAS 96-134 LAL, January 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	91	68	94.3	28/34	26.3	96	120.6
LAL	90	113	100.4	21/22	17.3	134	117.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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