GSW 116-109 OKC, January 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. GSW beat OKC 116-109, but OKC's shots were worth 120.7 points to GSW's 105.6.

GSW 116-109 OKC, January 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	81	93	84.7	23/28	20.9	116	105.6
OKC	99	89	98.9	20/25	21.8	109	120.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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