PHX 113-121 MIN, January 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat PHX 121-113, but PHX's shots were worth 108.2 points to MIN's 105.3.

PHX 113-121 MIN, January 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	85	98	92.2	15/20	16.0	113	108.2
MIN	75	97	83.6	24/27	21.7	121	105.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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