SAS 116-128 LAC, January 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat SAS 128-116, but SAS's shots were worth 122.8 points to LAC's 119.1.

SAS 116-128 LAC, January 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	87	98	102.9	18/25	19.8	116	122.8
LAC	91	108	100.9	20/23	18.2	128	119.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.