NOP 136-137 DAL, January 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat NOP 137-136, but NOP's shots were worth 119.0 points to DAL's 118.2.

NOP 136-137 DAL, January 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	96	117	102.6	19/22	16.5	136	119.0
DAL	96	124	105.3	13/17	12.9	137	118.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.