PHI 117-104 SAC, January 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat SAC 117-104, but SAC's shots were worth 117.9 points to PHI's 103.5.

PHI 117-104 SAC, January 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	82	98	86.0	19/22	17.5	117	103.5
SAC	90	90	104.0	14/17	13.9	104	117.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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