MIA 106-126 CLE, January 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat MIA 126-106, and CLE's shots were worth 109.2 points to MIA's 100.5.

MIA 106-126 CLE, January 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	83	93	88.4	13/15	12.1	106	100.5
CLE	100	121	104.7	5/6	4.5	126	109.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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