WAS 82-106 TOR, January 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat WAS 106-82, and TOR's shots were worth 99.2 points to WAS's 90.3.

WAS 82-106 TOR, January 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	72	61	68.6	21/29	21.7	82	90.3
TOR	88	95	88.0	11/15	11.3	106	99.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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