IND 133-119 DET, January 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat DET 133-119, but DET's shots were worth 118.7 points to IND's 109.3.

IND 133-119 DET, January 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	81	111	84.6	22/31	24.6	133	109.3
DET	89	100	98.7	19/26	20.0	119	118.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.