CHA 83-104 BKN, January 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BKN beat CHA 104-83, but CHA's shots were worth 102.9 points to BKN's 102.1.

CHA 83-104 BKN, January 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	83	66	83.6	17/25	19.3	83	102.9
BKN	80	88	87.8	16/20	14.3	104	102.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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