POR 125-112 MIL, January 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat MIL 125-112, and POR's shots were worth 118.8 points to MIL's 115.7.

POR 125-112 MIL, January 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	88	102	96.8	23/28	22.0	125	118.8
MIL	87	99	102.9	13/18	12.8	112	115.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.