PHI 118-104 LAL, January 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat LAL 118-104, and PHI's shots were worth 124.0 points to LAL's 100.0.

PHI 118-104 LAL, January 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI9197104.221/2519.7118124.0
LAL728482.620/2317.4104100.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.