PHX 111-109 LAC, January 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat LAC 111-109, but LAC's shots were worth 108.2 points to PHX's 97.8.

PHX 111-109 LAC, January 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	85	102	88.7	9/11	9.1	111	97.8
LAC	83	92	92.1	17/20	16.1	109	108.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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