No. MIL beat UTA 125-110, but UTA's shots were worth 115.8 points to MIL's 101.5.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 100 | 100 | 105.3 | 10/13 | 10.5 | 110 | 115.8 |
| MIL | 86 | 116 | 89.1 | 9/17 | 12.4 | 125 | 101.5 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.