DAL 130-108 WAS, January 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat WAS 130-108, but WAS's shots were worth 120.7 points to DAL's 117.4.

DAL 130-108 WAS, January 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	92	118	104.4	12/17	13.0	130	117.4
WAS	101	95	107.4	13/17	13.3	108	120.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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