TOR 113-104 NOP, January 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat NOP 113-104, and TOR's shots were worth 132.5 points to NOP's 120.2.

TOR 113-104 NOP, January 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
TOR10095115.018/2317.4113132.5
NOP898497.520/3022.7104120.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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