POR 108-118 OKC, January 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat POR 118-108, and OKC's shots were worth 114.9 points to POR's 101.3.

POR 108-118 OKC, January 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
POR818479.024/2822.3108101.3
OKC899491.824/2923.0118114.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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